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York City
Port Vale
League TwoLeague
York CityVSUpcoming
Port Vale24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:41
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
83%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 21:34
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
YOR
2.33
PTV
0.88
Recent form adjustment
YOR1.03×
PTV0.99×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 2.33
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.88
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.35/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.44/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.02/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 0.88/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.49 / 1.01 (114 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.03
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Sample size
- 28 home games, 50 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 21:34
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:41