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Huddersfield Town
Wigan Athletic
League OneLeague
Huddersfield TownVSUpcoming
Wigan Athletic24 Oct 2026, 12:30Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:41
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
64%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 21:34
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
HDD
1.40
WIG
0.77
Recent form adjustment
HDD1.01×
WIG0.97×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.40
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.77
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.55/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.32/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 0.98/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.13/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.48 / 1.38 (102 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.97
- Sample size
- 50 home games, 50 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 12:30
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 21:34
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:41