Back to Matches
Blackburn Rovers FC
Wrexham AFC
ChampionshipLeague
Blackburn Rovers FCVSUpcoming
Wrexham AFC24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:40
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
71%
MEDIUM confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 21:34
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
Blackburn
1.55
Wrexham
0.93
Recent form adjustment
Blackburn1.01×
Wrexham0.98×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.55
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.93
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.52/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.59/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.13/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.06/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.58 / 1.26 (106 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Sample size
- 51 home games, 5 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 21:34
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:40