Chelsea FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC — Mr Footy Acca

MR FOOTY ACCA

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Chelsea FC

Chelsea FC

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Tottenham Hotspur FC

Tottenham Hotspur FC

24 Oct 2026, 17:30Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:40

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

82%

HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 10 Oct 2026, 21:34

Why this prediction

Expected goals (model)

Chelsea

1.96

Tottenham

1.16

Recent form adjustment

Chelsea1.01×

Tottenham0.98×

Home expected goals (model): 1.96
Away expected goals (model): 1.16
Home team scoring rate at home: 1.93/game
Away team conceding rate away: 1.56/game
Away team scoring rate away: 1.42/game
Home team conceding rate at home: 1.05/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game): 1.55 / 1.26 (55 games)
Home recent form adjustment: x1.01
Away recent form adjustment: x0.98
Sample size: 41 home games, 41 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%

Settled predictions1610

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Timeline

Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 17:30
Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 21:34
Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:40

Chelsea FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC — Mr Footy Acca