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Coventry City FC
Fulham FC
Premier LeagueLeague
Coventry City FCVSUpcoming
Fulham FC24 Oct 2026, 15:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:40
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
71%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 21:34
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
Coventry City
1.29
Fulham
1.20
Recent form adjustment
Coventry City0.95×
Fulham0.98×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.29
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.20
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.64/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.28/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.33/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.15/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.55 / 1.26 (55 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.95
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Sample size
- 49 home games, 41 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff24 Oct 2026, 15:00
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 21:34
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:40