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Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
VSUpcoming
Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
23 Oct 2026, 20:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

82%
HIGH confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 10 Oct 2026, 21:34

Why this prediction

Recent form adjustment

SHA1.01×
SLI0.93×
Home expected goals (model)
2.21
Away expected goals (model)
0.93
Home team scoring rate at home
1.64/game
Away team conceding rate away
2.07/game
Away team scoring rate away
1.16/game
Home team conceding rate at home
1.26/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game)
1.55 / 1.47 (28 games)
Home recent form adjustment
x1.01
Away recent form adjustment
x0.93
Sample size
4 home games, 22 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
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Timeline

  1. Kickoff23 Oct 2026, 20:00
  2. Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 21:34
  3. Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45