Caernarfon Town v Briton Ferry — Mr Footy Acca

MR FOOTY ACCA

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Caernarfon Town

Caernarfon Town

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Briton Ferry

Briton Ferry

23 Oct 2026, 19:45Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

92%

HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 10 Oct 2026, 21:33

Why this prediction

Expected goals (model)

CAE

2.73

BRI

1.51

Recent form adjustment

CAE1.04×

BRI0.99×

Home expected goals (model): 2.73
Away expected goals (model): 1.51
Home team scoring rate at home: 2.22/game
Away team conceding rate away: 2.07/game
Away team scoring rate away: 1.38/game
Home team conceding rate at home: 1.72/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game): 1.76 / 1.56 (80 games)
Home recent form adjustment: x1.04
Away recent form adjustment: x0.99
Sample size: 21 home games, 21 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%

Settled predictions1610

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Timeline

Kickoff23 Oct 2026, 19:45
Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 21:33
Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45

Caernarfon Town v Briton Ferry — Mr Footy Acca