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The New Saints
Ammanford
Premier LeagueLeague
The New SaintsVSUpcoming
Ammanford23 Oct 2026, 19:45Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:45
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
90%
HIGH confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:40
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
TNS
3.25
AMM
0.70
Recent form adjustment
TNS1.14×
AMM0.97×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 3.25
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.70
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 3.00/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.69/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.18/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 0.95/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.78 / 1.56 (79 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.14
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.97
- Sample size
- 21 home games, 5 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff23 Oct 2026, 19:45
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:40
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:45