FC Volendam v Jong FC Utrecht — Mr Footy Acca

MR FOOTY ACCA

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Eerste DivisieLeague

FC Volendam

FC Volendam

VSUpcoming

Jong FC Utrecht

Jong FC Utrecht

23 Oct 2026, 19:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:44

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

88%

HIGH confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:39

Why this prediction

Expected goals (model)

VOL

2.92

JUT

0.77

Recent form adjustment

VOL1.01×

JUT1.01×

Home expected goals (model): 2.92
Away expected goals (model): 0.77
Home team scoring rate at home: 2.57/game
Away team conceding rate away: 2.29/game
Away team scoring rate away: 0.95/game
Home team conceding rate at home: 1.07/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game): 2.03 / 1.32 (78 games)
Home recent form adjustment: x1.01
Away recent form adjustment: x1.01
Sample size: 4 home games, 23 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%

Settled predictions1610

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Timeline

Kickoff23 Oct 2026, 19:00
Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:39
Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:44

FC Volendam v Jong FC Utrecht — Mr Footy Acca