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Jong AZ
Helmond Sport
Eerste DivisieLeague
Jong AZVSUpcoming
Helmond Sport23 Oct 2026, 19:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:44
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
85%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:39
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
JAZ
2.05
HEL
1.33
Recent form adjustment
JAZ1.02×
HEL0.98×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 2.05
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.33
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.01/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 2.04/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.20/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.50/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 2.03 / 1.32 (78 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.02
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Sample size
- 22 home games, 23 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff23 Oct 2026, 19:00
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:39
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:44