NAC Breda v Heracles Almelo — Mr Footy Acca

MR FOOTY ACCA

Back to Matches

Eerste DivisieLeague

NAC Breda

NAC Breda

VSUpcoming

Heracles Almelo

Heracles Almelo

23 Oct 2026, 19:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:44

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

89%

HIGH confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:39

Why this prediction

Expected goals (model)

NAC

1.99

HEA

1.73

Recent form adjustment

NAC1.02×

HEA1.04×

Home expected goals (model): 1.99
Away expected goals (model): 1.73
Home team scoring rate at home: 2.24/game
Away team conceding rate away: 1.77/game
Away team scoring rate away: 1.45/game
Home team conceding rate at home: 1.51/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game): 2.03 / 1.32 (78 games)
Home recent form adjustment: x1.02
Away recent form adjustment: x1.04
Sample size: 4 home games, 3 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

Ask Mr Footy about this match

Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%

Settled predictions1610

Generate an Acca

Timeline

Kickoff23 Oct 2026, 19:00
Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:39
Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:44

NAC Breda v Heracles Almelo — Mr Footy Acca