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Gateshead
Tamworth
Enterprise National LeagueLeague
GatesheadVSUpcoming
Tamworth23 Oct 2026, 19:45Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:43
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
80%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:39
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
GTH
1.80
TAM
1.23
Recent form adjustment
GTH0.93×
TAM1.00×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.80
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.23
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.57/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 2.07/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.14/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.46/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.69 / 1.36 (122 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.93
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.00
- Sample size
- 29 home games, 29 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff23 Oct 2026, 19:45
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:39
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:43