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Rheindorf Altach
Austria Wien
Admiral BundesligaLeague
Rheindorf AltachVSUpcoming
Austria Wien23 Oct 2026, 18:30Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:43
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
64%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:39
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
ALT
0.94
FAK
1.25
Recent form adjustment
ALT0.95×
FAK0.99×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 0.94
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.25
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.28/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.39/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.36/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.10/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.81 / 1.19 (42 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.95
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Sample size
- 35 home games, 36 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff23 Oct 2026, 18:30
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:39
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:43