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Västerås SK
Halmstad
AllsvenskanLeague
Västerås SKVSUpcoming
Halmstad23 Oct 2026, 18:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:43
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
73%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:39
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
VÄS
1.81
HAL
0.77
Recent form adjustment
VÄS1.02×
HAL0.99×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.81
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.77
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.48/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.93/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 0.79/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.31/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.62 / 1.33 (179 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.02
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Sample size
- 20 home games, 35 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff23 Oct 2026, 18:00
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:39
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:43