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KV Kortrijk
Mechelen
Pro LeagueLeague
KV KortrijkVSUpcoming
Mechelen23 Oct 2026, 19:45Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
68%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:39
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
KOR
1.10
MEC
1.27
Recent form adjustment
KOR0.96×
MEC0.96×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.10
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.27
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.16/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.64/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.11/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.49/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.66 / 1.26 (64 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.96
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.96
- Sample size
- 22 home games, 44 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff23 Oct 2026, 19:45
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:39
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42