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Brest
Nice
Ligue 1League
BrestVSUpcoming
Nice23 Oct 2026, 19:45Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
82%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:39
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
B29
1.84
NCE
1.29
Recent form adjustment
B290.99×
NCE0.99×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.84
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.29
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.68/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.73/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.28/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.30/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.55 / 1.27 (46 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Sample size
- 36 home games, 36 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff23 Oct 2026, 19:45
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:39
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42