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Go Ahead Eagles
Telstar 1963
EredivisieLeague
Go Ahead EaglesVSUpcoming
Telstar 196323 Oct 2026, 19:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:40
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
67%
MEDIUM confidenceLimited databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:39
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
Go Ahead
1.41
Telstar
0.89
Recent form adjustment
Go Ahead0.99×
Telstar0.97×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.41
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.89
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.89/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.27/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.30/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.37/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.69 / 1.95 (64 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.97
- Sample size
- 37 home games, 4 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff23 Oct 2026, 19:00
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:39
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:40