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Ipswich Town FC
Nottingham Forest FC
Premier LeagueLeague
Ipswich Town FCVSUpcoming
Nottingham Forest FC23 Oct 2026, 20:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:40
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
88%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:39
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
Ipswich Town
0.84
Nottingham
2.84
Recent form adjustment
Ipswich Town0.97×
Nottingham0.99×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 0.84
- Away expected goals (model)
- 2.84
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 0.84/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.57/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.65/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 2.16/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.52 / 1.25 (50 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.97
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Sample size
- 40 home games, 40 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff23 Oct 2026, 20:00
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:39
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:40