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League TwoLeague
BarnetBarnet
VSUpcoming
Swindon TownSwindon Town
20 Oct 2026, 19:45Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:41

AI recommendation

Over 1.5

82%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1

Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:38

Why this prediction

Recent form adjustment

BNT1.03×
SWI0.97×
Home expected goals (model)
1.93
Away expected goals (model)
1.21
Home team scoring rate at home
2.07/game
Away team conceding rate away
1.41/game
Away team scoring rate away
1.23/game
Home team conceding rate at home
0.98/game
League baseline (home/away goals per game)
1.54 / 0.96 (104 games)
Home recent form adjustment
x1.03
Away recent form adjustment
x0.97
Sample size
50 home games, 51 away games

Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.

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Reliability

Live performance, this market

Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
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Timeline

  1. Kickoff20 Oct 2026, 19:45
  2. Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:38
  3. Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:41