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Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
La LigaLeague
GetafeVSUpcoming
Rayo Vallecano19 Oct 2026, 20:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:52
AI recommendation
Under 2.5
81%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:38
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
GET
0.83
RAY
0.67
Recent form adjustment
GET1.00×
RAY0.99×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 0.83
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.67
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 0.97/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.46/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 0.97/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 0.93/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.71 / 1.33 (68 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.00
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Sample size
- 42 home games, 42 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy42%
Settled predictions1571
Timeline
- Kickoff19 Oct 2026, 20:00
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:38
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:52