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Tottenham Hotspur FC
Coventry City FC
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Tottenham Hotspur FCVSUpcoming
Coventry City FC19 Oct 2026, 20:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:52
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
80%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:38
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
Tottenham
1.62
Coventry City
1.38
Recent form adjustment
Tottenham0.97×
Coventry City0.95×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.62
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.38
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.73/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.47/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.02/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.77/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.52 / 1.25 (50 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.97
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.95
- Sample size
- 41 home games, 50 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff19 Oct 2026, 20:00
- Prediction generated10 Oct 2026, 16:38
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:52