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Levante
Athletic Club
La LigaLeague
Levante0–0Upcoming
Athletic Club21 Oct 2026, 19:00Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:42
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
75%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 5 Sept 2026, 22:18
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
LVT
1.29
ATH
1.39
Recent form adjustment
LVT1.01×
ATH1.01×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.29
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.39
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.59/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.42/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.13/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.44/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.77 / 1.19 (33 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Sample size
- 20 home games, 40 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff21 Oct 2026, 19:00
- Prediction generated5 Sept 2026, 22:18
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:42