Back to Matches
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
Portsmouth FC
ChampionshipLeague
Wolverhampton Wanderers FCVSUpcoming
Portsmouth FC20 Oct 2026, 19:45Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:40
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
86%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 30 Aug 2026, 18:33
SettlementVoid
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
Wolverhampton
2.07
Portsmouth
1.39
Recent form adjustment
Wolverhampton1.01×
Portsmouth1.00×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 2.07
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.39
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.44/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 2.08/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.15/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.66/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.46 / 1.37 (25 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.00
- Sample size
- 39 home games, 47 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Timeline
- Kickoff20 Oct 2026, 19:45
- Prediction generated30 Aug 2026, 18:33
- Settled5 Oct 2026, 23:44
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:40