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FC Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
BundesligaLeague
FC Bayern MünchenVSUpcoming
VfB Stuttgart28 Aug 2026, 19:30Updated 20 Aug 2026, 22:38
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
98%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 15 Aug 2026, 00:28
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
FCB
3.96
VFB
1.73
Recent form adjustment
FCB1.06×
VFB1.01×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 3.96
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.73
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 3.29/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.71/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.95/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.05/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.50 / 1.20 (0 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.06
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Sample size
- 34 home games, 34 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Reliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy80%
Settled predictions82
Timeline
- Kickoff28 Aug 2026, 19:30
- Prediction generated15 Aug 2026, 00:28
- Data last updated20 Aug 2026, 22:38