Back to Matches
Olympique Marseille
Strasbourg
Ligue 1League
Olympique MarseilleVSUpcoming
Strasbourg21 Aug 2026, 19:45Updated 20 Aug 2026, 22:39
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
90%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 15 Aug 2026, 00:27
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
OM
2.34
STR
1.55
Recent form adjustment
OM1.00×
STR1.01×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 2.34
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.55
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.29/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.53/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.46/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.26/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.50 / 1.20 (0 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.00
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Sample size
- 34 home games, 34 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Reliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy80%
Settled predictions82
Timeline
- Kickoff21 Aug 2026, 19:45
- Prediction generated15 Aug 2026, 00:27
- Data last updated20 Aug 2026, 22:39