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Ried
Grazer AK
Admiral BundesligaLeague
RiedVSUpcoming
Grazer AK21 Aug 2026, 18:30Updated 20 Aug 2026, 22:39
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
75%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 15 Aug 2026, 00:27
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
SVR
1.54
GAK
1.14
Recent form adjustment
SVR0.97×
GAK1.01×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.54
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.14
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.40/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.73/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.03/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.13/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.52 / 1.04 (13 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x0.97
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.01
- Sample size
- 19 home games, 33 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Reliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy80%
Settled predictions82
Timeline
- Kickoff21 Aug 2026, 18:30
- Prediction generated15 Aug 2026, 00:27
- Data last updated20 Aug 2026, 22:39