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Sirius
Häcken
AllsvenskanLeague
SiriusVSUpcoming
Häcken21 Aug 2026, 18:00Updated 20 Aug 2026, 22:39
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
85%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 15 Aug 2026, 00:27
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
SIR
1.93
HAC
1.46
Recent form adjustment
SIR1.04×
HAC0.98×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.93
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.46
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.07/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.53/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.45/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.37/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.70 / 1.33 (128 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.04
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Sample size
- 32 home games, 32 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Reliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy80%
Settled predictions82
Timeline
- Kickoff21 Aug 2026, 18:00
- Prediction generated15 Aug 2026, 00:27
- Data last updated20 Aug 2026, 22:39