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Sporting Braga
Gil Vicente
Liga PortugalLeague
Sporting BragaVSUpcoming
Gil Vicente19 Oct 2026, 20:15Updated 19 Oct 2026, 08:52
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
76%
MEDIUM confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 15 Aug 2026, 00:26
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
SCB
1.80
GVFC
0.94
Recent form adjustment
SCB1.00×
GVFC0.98×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 1.80
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.94
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 1.92/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 1.46/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.05/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.10/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.55 / 1.20 (10 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.00
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.98
- Sample size
- 34 home games, 34 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Ask Mr Footy about this matchReliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy79%
Settled predictions1610
Confidence-band reliability
This band has provenWell calibrated
Observed vs. stated gap+1pp
Timeline
- Kickoff19 Oct 2026, 20:15
- Prediction generated15 Aug 2026, 00:26
- Data last updated19 Oct 2026, 08:52