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EredivisieLeague
PSV
VSUpcoming
FC Groningen
23 Aug 2026, 13:30Updated 20 Aug 2026, 22:38
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
95%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 9 Aug 2026, 15:10
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
PSV
4.09
Groningen
0.68
Recent form adjustment
PSV1.05×
Groningen0.99×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 4.09
- Away expected goals (model)
- 0.68
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.77/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 2.11/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 0.90/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.04/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.50 / 1.38 (6 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.05
- Away recent form adjustment
- x0.99
- Sample size
- 45 home games, 17 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Reliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy80%
Settled predictions82
Timeline
- Kickoff23 Aug 2026, 13:30
- Prediction generated9 Aug 2026, 15:10
- Data last updated20 Aug 2026, 22:38