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EredivisieLeague
NEC
VSPostponed
SBV Excelsior
22 Aug 2026, 01:00Updated 20 Aug 2026, 22:38
AI recommendation
Over 1.5
95%
HIGH confidenceStrong databaseline-poisson-v1
Generated 8 Aug 2026, 20:46
SettlementVoid
Why this prediction
Expected goals (model)
NEC
3.13
Excelsior
1.55
Recent form adjustment
NEC1.05×
Excelsior1.02×
- Home expected goals (model)
- 3.13
- Away expected goals (model)
- 1.55
- Home team scoring rate at home
- 2.02/game
- Away team conceding rate away
- 2.34/game
- Away team scoring rate away
- 1.53/game
- Home team conceding rate at home
- 1.41/game
- League baseline (home/away goals per game)
- 1.58 / 1.42 (2 games)
- Home recent form adjustment
- x1.05
- Away recent form adjustment
- x1.02
- Sample size
- 34 home games, 18 away games
Lineups, injuries and referee data aren't yet part of the pipeline — this reflects exactly what the model used, nothing implied beyond it.
Reliability
Live performance, this market
Accuracy80%
Settled predictions82
Timeline
- Kickoff22 Aug 2026, 01:00
- Prediction generated8 Aug 2026, 20:46
- Settled20 Aug 2026, 22:45
- Data last updated20 Aug 2026, 22:38